Today's Strikeout Board

2026-09-06 · 30 probable starters · updated 12:00:06 PM · 10m old

Gavin Williams

RHP

CLE vs DET · 5:40 PM · Progressive Field

7.9

Projected K's

Line

7.5

Edge

—

Skill63

Arsenal56

Lineup K%51

Workload60

Park51

Recent58

Vulnerable bats

Spencer Torkelson · K% 31.4%Brett Callahan · K% 30.8%Ben Malgeri · K% 26.9%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Kyle Harrison

LHP

MIL vs CIN · 4:10 PM · Great American Ball Park

6.0

Projected K's

Line

6.5

Edge

—

Skill58

Arsenal56

Lineup K%56

Workload57

Park49

Recent47

Vulnerable bats

Eugenio Suárez · K% 34.3%Tyler Stephenson · K% 27.6%Elly De La Cruz · K% 27.3%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Paul Skenes

RHP

PIT vs LAA · 5:35 PM · PNC Park

5.3

Projected K's

Under pick

U 7.5(FanDuel U -154)

Edge (Under)

+22.0%

Skill57

Arsenal56

Lineup K%60

Workload56

Park49

Recent35

Vulnerable bats

Jose Siri · K% 32.7%Christian Moore · K% 32.0%Zach Neto · K% 31.0%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).

Ian Seymour

LHP

TB vs TEX · 6:35 PM · Globe Life Field

7.1

Projected K's

Line

5.5

Edge

—

Skill57

Arsenal56

Lineup K%50

Workload61

Park49

Recent62

Vulnerable bats

Jake Burger · K% 26.5%Justin Foscue · K% 24.6%Evan Carter · K% 24.3%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.
Lean only — experimental, not part of the tracked record.

Christian Scott

RHP

NYM vs SF · 5:40 PM · Citi Field

5.5

Projected K's

Line

5.5

Edge

—

Skill55

Arsenal54

Lineup K%58

Workload61

Park50

Recent43

Vulnerable bats

Jonah Cox · K% 40.2%Shay Whitcomb · K% 33.3%Grant McCray · K% 27.9%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Walbert Ureña

RHP

LAA vs PIT · 5:35 PM · PNC Park

5.8

Projected K's

Line

4.5

Edge

—

Skill52

Arsenal56

Lineup K%59

Workload57

Park49

Recent53

Vulnerable bats

Esmerlyn Valdez · K% 38.5%Oneil Cruz · K% 34.8%Rafael Flores Jr. · K% 29.5%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.
Lean only — experimental, not part of the tracked record.

Payton Tolle

LHP

BOS vs BAL · 5:35 PM · Camden Yards

7.0

Projected K's

Line

6.5

Edge

—

Skill55

Arsenal51

Lineup K%52

Workload62

Park50

Recent59

Vulnerable bats

Christian Encarnacion-Strand · K% 26.2%Samuel Basallo · K% 26.2%Leody Taveras · K% 25.6%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Michael King

RHP

SD vs NYY · 8:10 PM · Petco Park

5.8

Projected K's

Line

5.5

Edge

—

Skill49

Arsenal51

Lineup K%58

Workload63

Park52

Recent51

Vulnerable bats

Spencer Jones · K% 36.1%Ryan McMahon · K% 29.5%George Lombard Jr. · K% 28.4%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Gage Jump

LHP

ATH vs SEA · 8:10 PM · T-Mobile Park

5.3

Projected K's

Line

5.5

Edge

—

Skill51

Arsenal51

Lineup K%55

Workload63

Park51

Recent45

Vulnerable bats

Lazaro Montes · K% 42.9%Weston Wilson · K% 32.2%Cal Raleigh · K% 31.1%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Aaron Nola

RHP

PHI vs ATL · 5:10 PM · Citizens Bank Park

6.7

Projected K's

Line

5.5

Edge

—

Skill52

Arsenal50

Lineup K%47

Workload65

Park49

Recent63

Vulnerable bats

Austin Riley · K% 31.6%Ha-Seong Kim · K% 25.9%Matt Olson · K% 25.8%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.
Lean only — experimental, not part of the tracked record.

Bryan Woo

RHP

SEA vs ATH · 8:10 PM · T-Mobile Park

5.7

Projected K's

Under pick

U 6.5(FanDuel U +106)

Edge (Under)

+15.2%

Skill51

Arsenal49

Lineup K%53

Workload58

Park51

Recent50

Vulnerable bats

Denzel Clarke · K% 33.8%Max Muncy · K% 31.9%Henry Bolte · K% 27.4%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).

MacKenzie Gore

LHP

TEX vs TB · 6:35 PM · Globe Life Field

5.3

Projected K's

Line

5.5

Edge

—

Skill54

Arsenal49

Lineup K%45

Workload64

Park49

Recent49

Vulnerable bats

Jorge Mateo · K% 28.4%Kenny Piper · K% 27.3%Taylor Walls · K% 24.1%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Gerrit Cole

RHP

NYY vs SD · 8:10 PM · Petco Park

5.4

Projected K's

Line

5.5

Edge

—

Skill50

Arsenal47

Lineup K%56

Workload57

Park52

Recent50

Vulnerable bats

Jase Bowen · K% 37.5%Samad Taylor · K% 29.8%Austin Hays · K% 28.9%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Cesar Perdomo

LHP

SF vs NYM · 5:40 PM · Citi Field

5.1

Projected K's

Line

—

Edge

—

Skill50

Arsenal48

Lineup K%48

Workload60

Park50

Recent50

Vulnerable bats

Francisco Alvarez · K% 30.8%Brett Baty · K% 27.6%A.J. Ewing · K% 26.2%

Savant arsenal pending — using season K-rate proxy.
Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).

Spencer Arrighetti

RHP

TOR vs KC · 6:10 PM · Kauffman Stadium

3.7

Projected K's

Line

3.5

Edge

—

Skill50

Arsenal46

Lineup K%59

Workload49

Park50

Recent39

Vulnerable bats

Matthew Lugo · K% 75.0%Carter Jensen · K% 28.1%Kyle Isbel · K% 22.3%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Kyle Leahy

RHP

STL vs COL · 7:10 PM · Coors Field

5.3

Projected K's

Line

3.5

Edge

—

Skill47

Arsenal50

Lineup K%54

Workload49

Park42

Recent67

Vulnerable bats

Zac Veen · K% 38.6%Hunter Goodman · K% 32.7%Connor Norby · K% 29.0%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Justin Wrobleski

LHP

LAD vs WSH · 2:10 AM · Dodger Stadium

5.6

Projected K's

Line

4.5

Edge

—

Skill44

Arsenal44

Lineup K%58

Workload62

Park53

Recent57

Vulnerable bats

Yohandy Morales · K% 45.5%José Tena · K% 30.4%James Wood · K% 28.6%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Tyler Phillips

RHP

MIA vs CHC · 5:40 PM · loanDepot park

5.0

Projected K's

Line

3.5

Edge

—

Skill50

Arsenal49

Lineup K%46

Workload49

Park50

Recent60

Vulnerable bats

Ian Happ · K% 30.5%Pete Crow-Armstrong · K% 26.4%Miguel Amaya · K% 26.1%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.
Lean only — experimental, not part of the tracked record.

Andrew Alvarez

LHP

WSH vs LAD · 2:10 AM · Dodger Stadium

4.2

Projected K's

Line

3.5

Edge

—

Skill50

Arsenal48

Lineup K%47

Workload53

Park53

Recent48

Vulnerable bats

Enrique Hernández · K% 32.2%Alex Freeland · K% 28.9%Teoscar Hernández · K% 27.3%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.
Lean only — experimental, not part of the tracked record.

Tyler Mahle

RHP

ATL vs PHI · 5:10 PM · Citizens Bank Park

5.4

Projected K's

Line

4.5

Edge

—

Skill49

Arsenal45

Lineup K%46

Workload59

Park49

Recent58

Vulnerable bats

Derek Hill · K% 33.2%Kyle Schwarber · K% 32.6%Brandon Marsh · K% 25.0%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.
Lean only — experimental, not part of the tracked record.

Kyle Bradish

RHP

BAL vs BOS · 5:35 PM · Camden Yards

3.8

Projected K's

Under pick

U 4.5(FanDuel U +100)

Edge (Under)

+14.6%

Skill48

Arsenal44

Lineup K%49

Workload64

Park50

Recent40

Vulnerable bats

Trevor Story · K% 32.3%Jarren Duran · K% 27.8%Roman Anthony · K% 25.6%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).

Peter Lambert

RHP

HOU vs ARI · 6:10 PM · Daikin Park

4.1

Projected K's

Line

4.5

Edge

—

Skill50

Arsenal44

Lineup K%43

Workload64

Park50

Recent43

Vulnerable bats

Jordan Lawlar · K% 28.7%Ryan Waldschmidt · K% 28.5%Tim Tawa · K% 25.4%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Brady Singer

RHP

CIN vs MIL · 4:10 PM · Great American Ball Park

4.0

Projected K's

Line

4.5

Edge

—

Skill46

Arsenal44

Lineup K%51

Workload64

Park49

Recent44

Vulnerable bats

Garrett Mitchell · K% 31.7%Christian Yelich · K% 25.9%Jake Bauers · K% 25.7%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Bailey Ober

RHP

MIN vs CWS · 10:20 PM · Rate Field

3.7

Projected K's

Line

3.5

Edge

—

Skill42

Arsenal45

Lineup K%56

Workload58

Park49

Recent46

Vulnerable bats

Kyle Teel · K% 37.8%Munetaka Murakami · K% 34.4%Colson Montgomery · K% 34.1%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Eduardo Rodriguez

LHP

ARI vs HOU · 6:10 PM · Daikin Park

5.7

Projected K's

Line

4.5

Edge

—

Skill44

Arsenal43

Lineup K%47

Workload67

Park50

Recent63

Vulnerable bats

Taylor Trammell · K% 30.6%Cam Smith · K% 24.9%Christian Walker · K% 23.4%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Tanner Gordon

RHP

COL vs STL · 7:10 PM · Coors Field

3.2

Projected K's

Under pick

U 3.5(FanDuel U +120)

Edge (Under)

+11.5%

Skill45

Arsenal48

Lineup K%49

Workload54

Park42

Recent43

Vulnerable bats

Joshua Báez · K% 35.1%Nolan Gorman · K% 33.1%Thomas Saggese · K% 27.8%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).

Clay Holmes

RHP

CHC vs MIA · 5:40 PM · loanDepot park

3.6

Projected K's

Under pick

U 4.5(FanDuel U +104)

Edge (Under)

+19.3%

Skill46

Arsenal43

Lineup K%46

Workload57

Park50

Recent44

Vulnerable bats

Esteury Ruiz · K% 32.2%Kyle Stowers · K% 31.9%Griffin Conine · K% 30.3%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).

Bryan Hudson

LHP

CWS vs MIN · 10:20 PM · Rate Field

2.7

Projected K's

Line

—

Edge

—

Skill49

Arsenal45

Lineup K%43

Workload30

Park49

Recent42

Vulnerable bats

Royce Lewis · K% 24.4%Kody Clemens · K% 22.3%Ryan Kreidler · K% 21.8%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).

Randy Dobnak

RHP

KC vs TOR · 6:10 PM · Kauffman Stadium

3.9

Projected K's

Line

2.5

Edge

—

Skill43

Arsenal37

Lineup K%36

Workload62

Park50

Recent59

Vulnerable bats

Kazuma Okamoto · K% 29.8%Brett Bateman · K% 20.5%Andrés Giménez · K% 19.3%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

Jackson Jobe

RHP

DET vs CLE · 5:40 PM · Progressive Field

3.2

Projected K's

Line

3.5

Edge

—

Skill42

Arsenal37

Lineup K%39

Workload55

Park51

Recent50

Vulnerable bats

David Fry · K% 29.4%Jo Adell · K% 23.9%Angel Martínez · K% 21.9%

Opposing lineup is projected (not yet confirmed).
No recommended side — unders need a 5% calibrated edge (12% at negative prices); overs run as leans only.

K model k-2026-08-f. Lines and props refresh every 15–30 minutes near first pitch.